I generally look at Growth investments in one of two ways: either steady compounders or huge reward-to-risk, asymmetric growth opportunities. The steady compounders are the companies that can consistently post growth year after year in a secular manner – secular meaning a long-term story not affected by short-term cycles. Whereas the high growth opportunities tend…
Macro changes occur at a glacial speed but these are typically the most important metrics to track. This is separating the signal (macro shifts, leading data points, etc.) from the noise (CNBC). Warning Signals from the Yield Curve One of the most basic yet crucial metrics is the yield curve, which has certainly received a…
Here’s a quick summary of recent stock purchases and other areas of the market I have my eye on. I almost always build positions in multiple steps to create a better average price but this has especially been the case lately as I’m starting small and hoping for an opportunity to buy more at lower…
I realize that a lot of posts lately have been more focused on the risk side of things, pointing out assets that I feel are overvalued these days. Believe it or not, I’m pretty optimistic about some of the innovation we’re seeing in the world. I think we will see huge strides made over the…
My next few posts will take a look at the world from a longer-term perspective and discuss some potential investment themes that I think provide interesting opportunities. This first post will discuss Bitcoin, the very confusing and often misunderstood cryptocurrency. I’ve loosely followed bitcoin for the past 2 years but just started doing some in-depth research…
It was an odd week for the stock market and I’m not yet seeing the things I would like to for confirmation that stocks should move higher. We’ll see where things take us in the week ahead. Here’s a video discussing the the things I’m watching: I hope everyone has a great weekend…
Thanks to everyone who has participated in the survey! I received a suggestion asking to talk more about what is driving markets in the short-term. For example, why were stocks down yesterday. Here’s a short video looking at the investment capital flows over the past few weeks. It shows that we had a very strong…
2013 was certainly an eventful year both politically and economically and I think 2014 will prove to be just as interesting. The biggest concern I see over the next year is the amount of civil unrest that is building. For some reason governments think corruption and higher taxes will go unnoticed… In 2013, we saw…