How the Economic Cycle Impacts your Portfolio: Shifting to the Next Stage

There’s a general playbook for investing when it comes to the macro-economic business cycle.  The cycle includes four stages: Reflation, Recovery, Overheat and Stagflation.  You might also hear other terms used to describe each stage but we’ll run with these because Merrill Lynch made this nice chart for us. Within each stage, investment assets tend…

Chart of the Week: Consumer Discretionary Stocks are Not on Sale

This goes to show how distorted Quantitative Easing (QE) has made things.  It’s a value investors nightmare…  It’s important to use your head when investing in this market.  A common mistake that investors tend to make is to pick a fund (or stock) based on past performance.  They’ll think “look how well this fund has done…

My Long Term View and How I’m Positioning Portfolios (Oct, 2015)

I’ll preface this post by saying that this is a long one (sorry about that) but it’s worth the time.  To continue on the post from earlier this week where I mentioned that the best long-term investment opportunities typically come with short-term volatility, I’d like to outline my long-term view on how the world, global…